Dollar Tree Valuation

DLTR Stock  USD 123.83  4.23  3.54%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Dollar Tree shows a prevailing Real Value of $132.07 per share. The current price of the firm is $123.83. Our model computes the value of Dollar Tree from reviewing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of (0.15) %, current valuation of 30.85 B, and Shares Outstanding of 198.85 M as well as analyzing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Dollar Tree's valuation include:
Price Book
6.8643
Enterprise Value
30.8 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
13.9535
Price Sales
1.3321
Forward PE
17.9856
Undervalued
Today
123.83
Please note that Dollar Tree's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Dollar Tree is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Dollar Tree's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Dollar stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Dollar Tree. Since Dollar Tree is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Dollar Stock. However, Dollar Tree's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  123.83 Real  132.07 Target  122.04 Hype  122.2 Naive  113.69
The intrinsic value of Dollar Tree's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Dollar Tree's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
111.45
Downside
132.07
Real Value
134.43
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Dollar Tree helps investors to forecast how Dollar stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Dollar Tree more accurately as focusing exclusively on Dollar Tree's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
1.342.531.46
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
119.84122.20124.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
111.33113.69116.05
Details
27 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
111.06122.04135.47
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Dollar Tree's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Dollar Tree's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Dollar Tree's closest peers.

Dollar Tree Cash

1.52 Billion

Dollar Tree Total Value Analysis

Dollar Tree is currently anticipated to have valuation of 30.85 B with market capitalization of 25.26 B, debt of 7.83 B, and cash on hands of 439 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Dollar Tree fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
30.85 B
25.26 B
7.83 B
439 M

Dollar Tree Investor Information

About 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.12. Dollar Tree recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.28. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 2:1 split on the 27th of June 2012. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from Dollar Tree's historical financial statements, Dollar Tree may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average risk of going through some form of financial straits next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.110.109
Slightly Up
Pretty Stable
Total Cash From Operating Activities3.5 B3.3 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Dollar Tree Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Dollar Tree has an asset utilization ratio of 94.29 percent. This connotes that the Company is making $0.94 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Dollar Tree is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Dollar Tree Profitability Analysis

Based on the measurements of profitability obtained from Dollar Tree's financial statements, Dollar Tree's profitability may be sliding down. It has an above-average risk of reporting lower numbers next quarter. Profitability indicators assess Dollar Tree's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Loss  
First Reported
1995-01-31
Previous Quarter
188.4 M
Current Value
244.6 M
Quarterly Volatility
454.5 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, Dollar Tree's Gross Profit is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 02/07/2026, Operating Profit Margin is likely to grow to 0.11, while Pretax Profit Margin is likely to drop 0.1.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.390.3658
Notably Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.110.109
Slightly Up
Pretty Stable
Pretax Profit Margin0.09850.108
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable
For Dollar Tree profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Dollar Tree to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Dollar Tree utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Dollar Tree's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Dollar Tree over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Dollar Tree Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Dollar Tree is estimated to be 2.53 with future projections ranging from a low of 1.3375 to a high of 1.4584. Dollar Tree's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 5.28. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Dollar Tree is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Dollar Tree is projected to generate 2.53 in earnings per share on the 31st of January 2026. Dollar Tree earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Dollar Tree EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Dollar Tree's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Dollar Tree, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Dollar Tree Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Dollar Tree's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Dollar Tree is estimated to be 2.53 with the future projection ranging from a low of 1.3375 to a high of 1.4584. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Dollar Tree is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
1.21
1.34
Lowest
Expected EPS
2.53
1.46
Highest

Dollar Tree Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Dollar Tree's value are higher than the current market price of the Dollar Tree stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Dollar Tree is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Dollar Tree's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of January 2026Current EPS (TTM)
2789.44%
1.21
2.53
5.28

Dollar Tree Ownership Allocation

The majority of Dollar Tree outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to obtain positions in Dollar Tree to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Dollar Tree. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Dollar Tree as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. On January 14, 2026, Representative Julia Letlow of US Congress acquired under $15k worth of Dollar Tree's common stock.

Dollar Tree Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 17.58 B. Net Income was 1.04 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.81 B.

About Dollar Tree Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Dollar Tree's current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Dollar Tree based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Dollar Tree. We calculate exposure to Dollar Tree's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Dollar Tree's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit7.2 B7.6 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.11  0.10 
Operating Profit Margin 0.11  0.11 
Net Profit Margin 0.07  0.05 
Gross Profit Margin 0.37  0.39 

Dollar Tree Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Dollar Tree does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding215.9 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.106
Forward Price Earnings17.9856

Dollar Tree Current Valuation Indicators

Dollar Tree's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Dollar Tree's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Dollar Tree, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Dollar Tree's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Dollar Tree's worth.

Additional Tools for Dollar Stock Analysis

When running Dollar Tree's price analysis, check to measure Dollar Tree's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dollar Tree is operating at the current time. Most of Dollar Tree's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dollar Tree's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dollar Tree's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dollar Tree to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.